Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on defensive-zone draws (65% H2H, 31 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 49.4% vs Monahan 51.2% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 36-30 in 66 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 52.3%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 54.9%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 54.2%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Suzuki
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
36
(66 meetings)
30
36
Suzuki
Monahan
Last 10: Suzuki 5-5 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
10
10
Suzuki
Monahan
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
11
20
Suzuki
Monahan
31 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
9
6
Suzuki
Monahan
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (6,368)
51.1% (11,407)
-1.7%
Power Play
50.8% (1,355)
53.6% (2,582)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (466)
45.9% (772)
-1.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,968).
Suzuki shoots right. Monahan is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (5,426).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Monahan
Home
51.1% (4,031)
52.3% (7,387)
Away
47.7% (4,158)
50.2% (7,374)
By Period
Suzuki
Monahan
P1
48.9%
51.0%
P2
49.1%
51.7%
P3
50.3%
51.0%
OT
44.4%
53.5%
Final 5 min
49.1%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
49.3%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 14:44 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 13:18 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 2 | 18:02 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 2 | 14:36 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 06:06 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 01:44 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 17, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 19:33 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 16:04 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 14:11 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 10:45 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 19:20 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 17:48 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 07:03 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 05:52 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 18:00 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 04:16 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 11:50 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 04:49 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 27, 2024 | OT | 00:25 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |