Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Coyle wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Hischier 55.2% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hischier 93.6%
Defensive zone
Hischier 73.8%
Neutral zone
Hischier 78.2%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 83.7%
16.3%
83.7%
Coyle
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Coyle
Hischier
Last 6: Coyle 5-1 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
0
Coyle
Hischier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
1
Coyle
Hischier
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (576)
55.8% (1,228)
-6.3%
Power Play
54.2% (48)
62.1% (282)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (145)
47.6% (267)
-4.2%
On power play, Hischier has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Coyle is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Coyle shoots right. Hischier is 59.3% vs right-shot opponents (590).
Home / Away
Coyle
Hischier
Home
47.4% (409)
56.5% (867)
Away
50.0% (360)
54.6% (910)
By Period
Coyle
Hischier
P1
50.8%
57.9%
P2
46.0%
55.9%
P3
48.4%
52.7%
OT
64.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
46.7%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
48.6%
Hischier
56.0%▲
54.5%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2025 | 3 | 16:15 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 3 | 15:56 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 2 | 15:34 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 1 | 17:42 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 1 | 11:52 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 1 | 03:19 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |