Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Hischier wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 55.4% vs Cates 45.5% (+10.8%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 11-3 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 91.6%
Defensive zone
Hischier 95.6%
Neutral zone
Hischier 90.3%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 91.9%
91.9%
8.1%
Hischier
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
3
(14 meetings)
11
3
Hischier
Cates
Last 10: Hischier 8-2 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
5
0
Hischier
Cates
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
2
1
Hischier
Cates
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
4
2
Hischier
Cates
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (1,172)
45.5% (756)
+10.0%
Power Play
64.5% (265)
42.1% (114)
+22.4%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (164)
44.7% (47)
-0.8%
On power play, Hischier has a +22.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Hischier is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,026).
Hischier shoots left. Cates is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (564).
Home / Away
Hischier
Cates
Home
56.8% (791)
46.2% (468)
Away
54.8% (810)
43.9% (449)
By Period
Hischier
Cates
P1
56.0%
46.0%
P2
58.6%
47.5%
P3
53.5%
42.1%
OT
33.3%
18.2%
Final 5 min
54.0%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
66.0%▲
58.0%
55.8%
Cates
50.0%▲
45.5%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 03:16 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 15:37 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 00:20 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 02:55 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 02:42 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 19:09 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 18:57 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 16:16 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 10:18 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 06:32 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 09:07 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 09:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noah Cates |