Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (93% H2H, 15 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 52.7% vs Cates 43.2% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 28-13 in 41 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 99.0%
Defensive zone
Hischier 94.8%
Neutral zone
Hischier 94.7%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 96.3%
96.3%
3.7%
Hischier
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
28
-
13
(41 meetings)
28
13
Hischier
Cates
Last 10: Hischier 8-2 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
14
1
Hischier
Cates
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
7
4
Hischier
Cates
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cates
7
8
Hischier
Cates
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (8,444)
44.1% (2,786)
+7.5%
Power Play
59.9% (1,749)
42.9% (254)
+17.0%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (918)
34.9% (373)
+14.4%
On power play, Hischier has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Hischier is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,097).
Hischier shoots left. Cates is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,307).
Home / Away
Hischier
Cates
Home
53.0% (5,477)
43.9% (1,708)
Away
52.4% (5,634)
42.2% (1,705)
By Period
Hischier
Cates
P1
52.9%
44.5%
P2
52.6%
43.7%
P3
52.7%
41.2%
OT
50.6%
29.4%
Final 5 min
51.2%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
66.0%▲
58.0%
52.7%
Cates
50.0%▲
45.5%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 03:16 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 15:37 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 00:20 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 02:55 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 02:42 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 19:09 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 18:57 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 16:16 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 10:18 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 06:32 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 09:07 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 09:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 10:32 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 06:47 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:06 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 19:51 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |