Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.8% vs 55.4%). Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Hischier wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 55.4% vs O'Reilly 55.0% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 52.2%
Defensive zone
Hischier 56.5%
Neutral zone
Hischier 52.2%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Hischier
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Hischier
O'Reilly
Last 10: Hischier 6-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
5
0
Hischier
O'Reilly
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
2
Hischier
O'Reilly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
3
Hischier
O'Reilly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (1,172)
55.7% (856)
-0.2%
Power Play
64.5% (265)
57.5% (233)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (164)
50.0% (144)
-6.1%
On power play, Hischier has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Hischier is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,026).
Hischier shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
Hischier
O'Reilly
Home
56.8% (791)
55.5% (616)
Away
54.8% (810)
55.3% (617)
By Period
Hischier
O'Reilly
P1
56.0%
58.1%
P2
58.6%
54.9%
P3
53.5%
53.9%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.0%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
66.0%▲
58.0%
55.8%
O'Reilly
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 10:56 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 03:27 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 2 | 03:50 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 16:31 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 12:38 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 29, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 18:15 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 15:30 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 15:26 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 15:19 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 12:01 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 06:41 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |