Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 39 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 52.7% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 76-55 in 131 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 73.6%
Defensive zone
Hischier 70.1%
Neutral zone
Hischier 68.5%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 71.0%
71.0%
29.0%
Hischier
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
55
-
76
(131 meetings)
55
76
Hischier
O'Reilly
Last 10: Hischier 6-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
28
24
Hischier
O'Reilly
52 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
13
26
Hischier
O'Reilly
39 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
14
26
Hischier
O'Reilly
40 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (8,444)
56.2% (15,290)
-4.6%
Power Play
59.9% (1,749)
58.7% (3,457)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (918)
51.4% (2,826)
-2.1%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Hischier is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,097).
Hischier shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,901).
Home / Away
Hischier
O'Reilly
Home
53.0% (5,477)
57.6% (10,799)
Away
52.4% (5,634)
54.4% (10,807)
By Period
Hischier
O'Reilly
P1
52.9%
55.6%
P2
52.6%
57.0%
P3
52.7%
55.0%
OT
50.6%
62.2%
Final 5 min
51.2%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
66.0%▲
58.0%
52.7%
O'Reilly
54.0%▬
55.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 10:56 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 03:27 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 2 | 03:50 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 16:31 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 12:38 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 29, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 18:15 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 15:30 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 15:26 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 15:19 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 12:01 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 06:41 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 14:51 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 05:34 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 03:58 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 16:03 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 15:50 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 12:23 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 10:49 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 05:18 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |