Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.8% vs 55.0%). Hischier wins 57.2% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 55.4% vs Carrick 54.2% (+0.8%)
Offensive zone
Hischier 71.7%
Defensive zone
Carrick 72.0%
Neutral zone
Carrick 56.0%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Hischier
Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (1,172)
55.5% (470)
+0.0%
Power Play
64.5% (265)
66.7% (3)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (164)
50.0% (58)
-6.1%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Hischier is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (570).
Hischier shoots left. Carrick is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Hischier
Carrick
Home
56.8% (791)
58.6% (261)
Away
54.8% (810)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Hischier
Carrick
P1
56.0%
55.9%
P2
58.6%
53.5%
P3
53.5%
55.6%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.0%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
66.0%▲
58.0%
55.8%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
55.0%