Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.7% vs 52.3%). Look for Carrick on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings). Hischier wins 55.0% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 52.7% vs Carrick 52.2% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Carrick leads 16-13 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 74.7%
Defensive zone
Carrick 79.6%
Neutral zone
Carrick 55.3%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Hischier
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
16
(29 meetings)
13
16
Hischier
Carrick
Last 10: Hischier 3-7 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
7
3
Hischier
Carrick
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
3
9
Hischier
Carrick
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
3
4
Hischier
Carrick
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (8,444)
52.2% (2,544)
-0.6%
Power Play
59.9% (1,749)
61.3% (75)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (918)
50.8% (435)
-1.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Hischier is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,009).
Hischier shoots left. Carrick is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,211).
Home / Away
Hischier
Carrick
Home
53.0% (5,477)
51.5% (1,477)
Away
52.4% (5,634)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Hischier
Carrick
P1
52.9%
51.8%
P2
52.6%
52.3%
P3
52.7%
52.6%
OT
50.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
66.0%▲
58.0%
52.7%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 13:22 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 17:13 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 02:48 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 15:17 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 18:44 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 1, 2024 | 3 | 19:31 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 1, 2024 | 3 | 19:23 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 1, 2024 | 3 | 18:25 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 1, 2024 | 3 | 15:40 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 1, 2024 | 3 | 10:01 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 1, 2024 | 3 | 08:37 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 1, 2024 | 3 | 04:12 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 1, 2024 | 2 | 15:12 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 1, 2024 | 2 | 13:47 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 1, 2024 | 1 | 11:14 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 17, 2023 | 3 | 12:21 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 17, 2023 | 3 | 08:38 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 17, 2023 | 3 | 08:24 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 17, 2023 | 1 | 15:16 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 17, 2023 | 1 | 09:20 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |