Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Hischier wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 55.4% vs Kuraly 51.0% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hischier 67.5%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 81.8%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 62.6%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 65.3%
34.7%
65.3%
Hischier
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Hischier
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
1
0
Hischier
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
2
Hischier
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (1,172)
52.6% (464)
+2.9%
Power Play
64.5% (265)
100.0% (1)
-35.5%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (164)
46.5% (155)
-2.6%
On power play, Kuraly has a +35.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Hischier is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,026).
Hischier shoots left. Kuraly is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Hischier
Kuraly
Home
56.8% (791)
55.9% (322)
Away
54.8% (810)
46.0% (298)
By Period
Hischier
Kuraly
P1
56.0%
55.9%
P2
58.6%
46.7%
P3
53.5%
50.7%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.0%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
66.0%▲
58.0%
55.8%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2026 | 2 | 15:45 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 1 | 11:30 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 02:56 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |