Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 32 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 52.7% vs Kuraly 50.4% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 40-32 in 72 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 72.4%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 84.2%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 60.1%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 62.3%
37.7%
62.3%
Hischier
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
32
-
40
(72 meetings)
32
40
Hischier
Kuraly
Last 10: Hischier 4-6 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
16
3
Hischier
Kuraly
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
7
25
Hischier
Kuraly
32 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
9
12
Hischier
Kuraly
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (8,444)
51.6% (5,161)
+0.0%
Power Play
59.9% (1,749)
56.4% (101)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (918)
44.4% (1,091)
+4.9%
On penalty kill, Hischier has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Hischier is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,097).
Hischier shoots left. Kuraly is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (4,119).
Home / Away
Hischier
Kuraly
Home
53.0% (5,477)
52.1% (3,205)
Away
52.4% (5,634)
48.8% (3,149)
By Period
Hischier
Kuraly
P1
52.9%
51.2%
P2
52.6%
50.0%
P3
52.7%
50.2%
OT
50.6%
52.3%
Final 5 min
51.2%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
66.0%▲
58.0%
52.7%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2026 | 2 | 15:45 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 1 | 11:30 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 02:56 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 1 | 06:01 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 06:04 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 19, 2024 | 3 | 00:24 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 19, 2024 | 3 | 00:11 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 19, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 19, 2024 | 2 | 13:19 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 19, 2024 | 2 | 01:23 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 19:33 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 14:49 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 14:51 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 02:07 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 16:37 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 07:05 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 08:39 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 1 | 19:58 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 1 | 06:23 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 1 | 06:17 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |