Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +14.5% FO% edge overall. Hischier wins 57.2% vs right-shot opponents — Jarvis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 55.4% vs Jarvis 46.3% (+14.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jarvis 60.3%
Defensive zone
Hischier 59.4%
Neutral zone
Jarvis 53.4%
Result
Seth Jarvis favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Hischier
Jarvis
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Hischier
Jarvis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jarvis
0
1
Hischier
Jarvis
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
1
0
Hischier
Jarvis
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (1,172)
42.6% (54)
+12.9%
Power Play
64.5% (265)
33.3% (6)
+31.2%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (164)
40.0% (15)
+3.9%
On power play, Hischier has a +31.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Hischier is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (570).
Hischier shoots left. Jarvis is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (61).
Home / Away
Hischier
Jarvis
Home
56.8% (791)
43.6% (39)
Away
54.8% (810)
38.9% (36)
By Period
Hischier
Jarvis
P1
56.0%
36.0%
P2
58.6%
48.3%
P3
53.5%
36.8%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.0%
23.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
66.0%▲
58.0%
55.8%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
41.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 11:06 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 07:28 | Offensive | Seth Jarvis |