Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Hischier wins 55.0% vs right-shot opponents — Jarvis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 52.7% vs Jarvis 42.5% (+11.4%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 12-1 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 96.4%
Defensive zone
Hischier 96.4%
Neutral zone
Hischier 93.3%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 95.7%
95.7%
4.3%
Hischier
Jarvis
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
1
(13 meetings)
12
1
Hischier
Jarvis
Last 10: Hischier 9-1 Jarvis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
4
1
Hischier
Jarvis
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
5
0
Hischier
Jarvis
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
3
0
Hischier
Jarvis
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (8,444)
41.8% (354)
+9.8%
Power Play
59.9% (1,749)
43.7% (119)
+16.2%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (918)
38.2% (157)
+11.1%
On power play, Hischier has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Hischier is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,009).
Hischier shoots left. Jarvis is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
Hischier
Jarvis
Home
53.0% (5,477)
43.8% (336)
Away
52.4% (5,634)
38.4% (294)
By Period
Hischier
Jarvis
P1
52.9%
39.5%
P2
52.6%
39.5%
P3
52.7%
45.8%
OT
50.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.2%
38.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
66.0%▲
58.0%
52.7%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
41.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 11:06 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 07:28 | Offensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 17:21 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 17:14 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 3 | 13:42 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 11:55 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 07:17 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 11:27 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 12:48 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 15:20 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 09:55 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 01:06 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 1 | 11:36 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |