Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.8% vs 55.5%). Look for Hischier on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings). Hischier wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 55.4% vs Crosby 55.1% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 20-9 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 53.5%
Defensive zone
Hischier 82.1%
Neutral zone
Hischier 65.3%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 67.7%
67.7%
32.3%
Hischier
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
9
(29 meetings)
20
9
Hischier
Crosby
Last 10: Hischier 8-2 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
4
3
Hischier
Crosby
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
9
3
Hischier
Crosby
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
7
3
Hischier
Crosby
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (1,172)
53.3% (1,025)
+2.2%
Power Play
64.5% (265)
64.7% (249)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (164)
60.0% (15)
-16.1%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Hischier is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,026).
Hischier shoots left. Crosby is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (914).
Home / Away
Hischier
Crosby
Home
56.8% (791)
56.9% (675)
Away
54.8% (810)
54.1% (614)
By Period
Hischier
Crosby
P1
56.0%
55.1%
P2
58.6%
53.1%
P3
53.5%
58.5%
OT
33.3%
54.2%
Final 5 min
54.0%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
66.0%▲
58.0%
55.8%
Crosby
46.0%▼
54.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 17:47 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 09:17 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 18:28 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 17:38 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 14:53 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 11:09 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 08:05 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 07:55 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 19:49 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 10:29 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 10:13 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 06:22 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 02:58 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 8, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 02:10 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 01:45 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 00:19 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |