Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.7% vs 53.5%). Look for Hischier on defensive-zone draws (65% H2H, 68 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 52.7% vs Crosby 53.5% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 112-112 in 224 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 62.1%
Defensive zone
Hischier 67.0%
Neutral zone
Hischier 51.2%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Hischier
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
112
-
112
(224 meetings)
112
112
Hischier
Crosby
Last 10: Hischier 8-2 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
23
39
Hischier
Crosby
62 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
44
24
Hischier
Crosby
68 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
45
49
Hischier
Crosby
94 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (8,444)
52.8% (18,014)
-1.2%
Power Play
59.9% (1,749)
57.5% (4,738)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (918)
47.0% (766)
+2.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Hischier is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,097).
Hischier shoots left. Crosby is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (14,868).
Home / Away
Hischier
Crosby
Home
53.0% (5,477)
55.0% (11,998)
Away
52.4% (5,634)
52.0% (11,539)
By Period
Hischier
Crosby
P1
52.9%
53.6%
P2
52.6%
53.9%
P3
52.7%
53.3%
OT
50.6%
49.6%
Final 5 min
51.2%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
66.0%▲
58.0%
52.7%
Crosby
62.0%▲
53.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 17:47 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 09:17 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 18:28 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 17:38 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 14:53 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 11:09 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 08:05 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 07:55 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 19:49 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 10:29 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 10:13 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 06:22 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 02:58 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 8, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 02:10 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 01:45 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 00:19 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |