Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kozak on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hischier wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kozak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 55.4% vs Kozak 49.7% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hischier 71.2%
Defensive zone
Kozak 81.0%
Neutral zone
Kozak 59.9%
Result
Tyson Kozak favored at 68.9%
31.1%
68.9%
Hischier
Kozak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Hischier
Kozak
Last 7: Hischier 3-4 Kozak
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kozak
1
2
Hischier
Kozak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Hischier
Kozak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Kozak
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (1,172)
49.3% (294)
+6.2%
Power Play
64.5% (265)
60.0% (5)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (164)
50.0% (40)
-6.1%
On even strength, Hischier has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kozak shoots left. Hischier is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,026).
Hischier shoots left. Kozak is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (239).
Home / Away
Hischier
Kozak
Home
56.8% (791)
45.5% (145)
Away
54.8% (810)
52.6% (194)
By Period
Hischier
Kozak
P1
56.0%
53.4%
P2
58.6%
50.0%
P3
53.5%
44.3%
Final 5 min
54.0%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
66.0%▲
58.0%
55.8%
Kozak
50.0%▬
49.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 03:43 | Defensive | Tyson Kozak |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 03:48 | Defensive | Tyson Kozak |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyson Kozak |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyson Kozak |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 05:22 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 11:36 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |