Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kozak on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 52.7% vs Kozak 48.8% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hischier 73.9%
Defensive zone
Kozak 76.1%
Neutral zone
Kozak 57.7%
Result
Tyson Kozak favored at 65.6%
34.4%
65.6%
Hischier
Kozak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Hischier
Kozak
Last 7: Hischier 3-4 Kozak
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kozak
1
2
Hischier
Kozak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Hischier
Kozak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Kozak
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (8,444)
48.3% (431)
+3.3%
Power Play
59.9% (1,749)
62.5% (8)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (918)
48.9% (45)
+0.4%
On even strength, Hischier has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kozak shoots left. Hischier is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,097).
Hischier shoots left. Kozak is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (322).
Home / Away
Hischier
Kozak
Home
53.0% (5,477)
47.6% (229)
Away
52.4% (5,634)
49.4% (255)
By Period
Hischier
Kozak
P1
52.9%
54.4%
P2
52.6%
45.7%
P3
52.7%
45.7%
Final 5 min
51.2%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
66.0%▲
58.0%
52.7%
Kozak
50.0%▬
49.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 03:43 | Defensive | Tyson Kozak |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 03:48 | Defensive | Tyson Kozak |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyson Kozak |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyson Kozak |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 05:22 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 11:36 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |