Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 50.0% vs Sturm 59.0% (-10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sturm 87.6%
Defensive zone
Sturm 75.7%
Neutral zone
Sturm 70.4%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 75.9%
24.1%
75.9%
Dickinson
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Dickinson
Sturm
Last 5: Dickinson 4-1 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
1
0
Dickinson
Sturm
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
2
0
Dickinson
Sturm
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Dickinson
Sturm
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (912)
60.6% (708)
-9.4%
Power Play
63.8% (58)
61.1% (18)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (266)
56.4% (101)
-13.5%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Dickinson is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (807).
Dickinson shoots left. Sturm is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (563).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Sturm
Home
52.9% (664)
61.6% (451)
Away
46.7% (572)
58.2% (376)
By Period
Dickinson
Sturm
P1
49.0%
55.9%
P2
48.3%
58.9%
P3
52.5%
64.6%
OT
61.5%
70.6%
Final 5 min
56.7%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
54.0%▬
54.5%
50.0%
Sturm
56.0%▼
58.5%
60.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 00:16 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 09:26 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 06:12 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 3 | 12:48 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 1 | 14:50 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |