Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Sturm wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 57.1% vs Zacha 52.8% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 69.6%
Defensive zone
Sturm 83.7%
Neutral zone
Sturm 65.8%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 83.7%
83.7%
16.3%
Sturm
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Sturm
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
1
0
Sturm
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
62.1% (356)
54.1% (534)
+8.0%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
56.0% (109)
+19.0%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (62)
44.8% (96)
-6.1%
On power play, Sturm has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Sturm is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Sturm shoots left. Zacha is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Home / Away
Sturm
Zacha
Home
61.8% (191)
53.4% (406)
Away
56.3% (231)
52.9% (333)
By Period
Sturm
Zacha
P1
58.0%
56.8%
P2
57.9%
53.6%
P3
60.6%
49.2%
Final 5 min
58.3%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
56.0%▼
58.5%
58.8%
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2025 | 3 | 06:56 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |