Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Sturm wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 54.1% vs Zacha 51.9% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Sturm
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Sturm
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sturm
Zacha
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (233)
53.7% (497)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
59.5% (74)
37.5% (64)
+22.0%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +22.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Sturm is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (216).
Sturm shoots left. Zacha is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (371).
Home / Away
Sturm
Zacha
Home
54.4% (149)
51.0% (335)
Away
56.3% (158)
53.5% (310)
By Period
Sturm
Zacha
P1
57.1%
60.0%
P2
55.0%
48.1%
P3
53.7%
48.8%
OT
100.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
55.8%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
56.0%▼
58.5%
55.4%
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 06:59 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 02:11 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |