Scouting Report
Scott Laughton holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Sturm wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Laughton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 53.6% vs Laughton 55.9% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Laughton 58.2%
Defensive zone
Laughton 70.8%
Neutral zone
Laughton 63.4%
Result
Scott Laughton favored at 64.5%
35.5%
64.5%
Sturm
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Sturm
Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
1
0
Sturm
Laughton
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
1
0
Sturm
Laughton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (271)
54.5% (488)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
54.4% (90)
63.4% (142)
-9.0%
On penalty kill, Laughton has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. Sturm is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Sturm shoots left. Laughton is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (427).
Home / Away
Sturm
Laughton
Home
53.0% (168)
57.5% (275)
Away
56.0% (193)
56.4% (362)
By Period
Sturm
Laughton
P1
58.2%
56.0%
P2
53.2%
61.8%
P3
52.3%
52.1%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.6%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 18:29 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 02:32 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |