Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Sturm on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Sturm wins 55.4% vs left-shot opponents — Laughton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 56.1% vs Laughton 50.4% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Sturm leads 15-4 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Sturm 67.7%
Defensive zone
Sturm 90.1%
Neutral zone
Sturm 83.9%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 80.4%
80.4%
19.6%
Sturm
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
4
(19 meetings)
15
4
Sturm
Laughton
Last 10: Sturm 8-2 Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
4
2
Sturm
Laughton
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
5
0
Sturm
Laughton
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
6
2
Sturm
Laughton
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (2,719)
50.8% (5,416)
+6.3%
Power Play
61.3% (62)
53.0% (330)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (498)
46.7% (892)
+4.3%
On power play, Sturm has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. Sturm is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,186).
Sturm shoots left. Laughton is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,362).
Home / Away
Sturm
Laughton
Home
57.1% (1,614)
51.2% (3,267)
Away
55.4% (1,665)
49.6% (3,371)
By Period
Sturm
Laughton
P1
56.5%
49.3%
P2
54.9%
53.0%
P3
57.4%
49.0%
OT
60.6%
39.6%
Final 5 min
56.9%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
56.3%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 18:29 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 02:32 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 3 | 02:36 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 12:10 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 08:21 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 05:09 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 2 | 04:15 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 04:29 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 16:18 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 09:52 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 00:52 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 1 | 09:38 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 1 | 07:04 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 23, 2022 | 3 | 08:16 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 23, 2022 | 3 | 04:04 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 23, 2022 | 2 | 19:21 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Oct 23, 2022 | 2 | 06:24 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 23, 2022 | 2 | 06:13 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Oct 23, 2022 | 1 | 16:15 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |