Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 52.5% vs Lewis 45.0% (+10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lewis 68.6%
Defensive zone
Sturm 84.0%
Neutral zone
Sturm 51.2%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 57.7%
57.7%
42.3%
Sturm
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Sturm
Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lewis
0
1
Sturm
Lewis
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
1
0
Sturm
Lewis
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (480)
42.5% (127)
+11.5%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
66.7% (6)
-38.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (102)
38.8% (49)
+11.2%
On power play, Lewis has a +38.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Sturm is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (199).
Sturm shoots left. Lewis is 39.2% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Sturm
Lewis
Home
54.0% (287)
47.4% (95)
Away
52.0% (302)
36.8% (87)
By Period
Sturm
Lewis
P1
53.5%
36.4%
P2
51.0%
45.8%
P3
55.1%
43.6%
Final 5 min
52.8%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
56.0%▼
58.5%
53.0%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2022 | 3 | 13:17 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 3 | 10:29 | Offensive | Trevor Lewis |