Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 51.9% vs Byfield 45.8% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 66.3%
Defensive zone
Roy 85.8%
Neutral zone
Roy 73.5%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 82.7%
82.7%
17.3%
Roy
Byfield
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Roy
Byfield
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
3
0
Roy
Byfield
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
1
0
Roy
Byfield
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Byfield
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (547)
46.8% (801)
+5.1%
Power Play
54.1% (37)
50.8% (59)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (92)
35.9% (153)
+17.4%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Byfield shoots left. Roy is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Roy shoots right. Byfield is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Home / Away
Roy
Byfield
Home
54.0% (328)
46.3% (462)
Away
50.6% (348)
44.6% (551)
By Period
Roy
Byfield
P1
53.5%
44.6%
P2
51.6%
43.4%
P3
51.6%
48.7%
Final 5 min
48.1%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Byfield
54.0%▼
57.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 19:56 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 19:46 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 06:43 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 08:06 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |