Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Roy wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Byfield shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 48.4% vs Byfield 45.0% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 12-7 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Byfield 50.9%
Defensive zone
Roy 76.0%
Neutral zone
Roy 65.3%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 66.4%
66.4%
33.6%
Roy
Byfield
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
7
(19 meetings)
12
7
Roy
Byfield
Last 10: Roy 7-3 Byfield
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
0
4
Roy
Byfield
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
8
0
Roy
Byfield
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
4
3
Roy
Byfield
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Byfield
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (3,719)
45.4% (2,149)
+3.3%
Power Play
49.5% (283)
47.8% (113)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (477)
37.8% (230)
+7.7%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Byfield shoots left. Roy is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,288).
Roy shoots right. Byfield is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (836).
Home / Away
Roy
Byfield
Home
49.5% (2,221)
45.3% (1,183)
Away
47.3% (2,258)
44.4% (1,309)
By Period
Roy
Byfield
P1
50.8%
45.2%
P2
46.3%
43.7%
P3
48.1%
45.9%
OT
50.0%
40.5%
Final 5 min
47.2%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Byfield
54.0%▼
57.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 19:56 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 19:46 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 06:43 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 08:06 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 11:33 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 08:22 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 1 | 18:29 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 24, 2025 | 2 | 14:41 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 3 | 09:58 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 3 | 06:23 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 1 | 13:37 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 04:18 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 02:41 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 10:07 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 11, 2022 | 3 | 01:27 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 11, 2022 | 2 | 07:02 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 11, 2022 | 2 | 01:53 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Feb 18, 2022 | 3 | 17:25 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Feb 18, 2022 | 1 | 04:53 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |