Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Roy wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.9% vs Zegras 41.3% (+11.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 62.6%
Defensive zone
Roy 71.1%
Neutral zone
Roy 51.4%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Roy
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Roy
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
1
Roy
Zegras
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
0
Roy
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (679)
36.5% (156)
+12.1%
Power Play
48.0% (50)
40.7% (27)
+7.3%
Penalty Kill
34.7% (49)
0.0% (3)
+34.7%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +34.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Roy is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Roy shoots right. Zegras is 33.3% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Home / Away
Roy
Zegras
Home
49.3% (345)
38.9% (113)
Away
46.4% (433)
32.9% (73)
By Period
Roy
Zegras
P1
47.6%
40.0%
P2
47.1%
38.1%
P3
47.9%
31.6%
OT
75.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
47.7%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
36.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2024 | 2 | 19:56 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 2 | 13:26 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |