Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +14.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Drury on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings). Drury wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.0% vs Cates 43.2% (+14.3%)
H2H factor
Drury leads 15-8 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Drury 95.1%
Defensive zone
Drury 92.9%
Neutral zone
Drury 93.8%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 93.6%
93.6%
6.4%
Drury
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
8
(23 meetings)
15
8
Drury
Cates
Last 10: Drury 8-2 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drury
3
2
Drury
Cates
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drury
9
3
Drury
Cates
12 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Drury
Cates
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (2,010)
44.1% (2,786)
+13.8%
Power Play
58.5% (118)
42.9% (254)
+15.6%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (300)
34.9% (373)
+18.1%
On penalty kill, Drury has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Drury is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,586).
Drury shoots left. Cates is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,307).
Home / Away
Drury
Cates
Home
57.9% (1,234)
43.9% (1,708)
Away
56.7% (1,194)
42.2% (1,705)
By Period
Drury
Cates
P1
55.9%
44.5%
P2
58.7%
43.7%
P3
57.1%
41.2%
OT
62.5%
29.4%
Final 5 min
53.9%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
60.0%▲
57.0%
57.3%
Cates
50.0%▲
45.5%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 17:51 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 11:11 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 2 | 11:54 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 15:48 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 15:29 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 01:57 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 3 | 10:56 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 3 | 10:45 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 2 | 02:53 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 2 | 02:46 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 1 | 13:28 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 19:58 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 13:09 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 03:39 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 13:30 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 3 | 03:26 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 2 | 02:27 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 2 | 02:18 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 2 | 02:11 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 1 | 14:49 | Defensive | Jack Drury |