Scouting Report
Noah Cates holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Cates wins 43.1% vs left-shot opponents — Holmberg shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 45.5% vs Holmberg 45.4% (+8.5%)
Offensive zone
Cates 54.2%
Defensive zone
Cates 67.3%
Neutral zone
Cates 51.1%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
Cates
Holmberg
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Holmberg
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (756)
36.7% (49)
+8.8%
Power Play
42.1% (114)
0.0% (1)
+42.1%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (47)
50.0% (2)
-5.3%
On power play, Cates has a +42.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holmberg shoots left. Cates is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (564).
Cates shoots left. Holmberg is 35.9% vs left-shot opponents (39).
Home / Away
Cates
Holmberg
Home
46.2% (468)
33.3% (36)
Away
43.9% (449)
43.8% (16)
By Period
Cates
Holmberg
P1
46.0%
62.5%
P2
47.5%
20.0%
P3
42.1%
31.3%
Final 5 min
44.8%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
50.0%▲
45.5%
45.0%
Holmberg
36.0%▼
45.5%
36.5%