Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.0% vs 45.4%). Cates wins 43.1% vs left-shot opponents — Byfield shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 45.5% vs Byfield 45.8% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cates 68.3%
Defensive zone
Byfield 62.0%
Neutral zone
Cates 51.3%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 68.3%
68.3%
31.7%
Cates
Byfield
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Cates
Byfield
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
0
1
Cates
Byfield
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Byfield
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (756)
46.8% (801)
-1.3%
Power Play
42.1% (114)
50.8% (59)
-8.7%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (47)
35.9% (153)
+8.8%
On penalty kill, Cates has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Byfield shoots left. Cates is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (564).
Cates shoots left. Byfield is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Home / Away
Cates
Byfield
Home
46.2% (468)
46.3% (462)
Away
43.9% (449)
44.6% (551)
By Period
Cates
Byfield
P1
46.0%
44.6%
P2
47.5%
43.4%
P3
42.1%
48.7%
OT
18.2%
37.9%
Final 5 min
44.8%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
50.0%▲
45.5%
45.0%
Byfield
54.0%▼
57.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 02:38 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |