Scouting Report
Quinton Byfield holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Byfield on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cates wins 41.9% vs left-shot opponents — Byfield shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 43.2% vs Byfield 45.0% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Byfield 54.8%
Defensive zone
Cates 51.0%
Neutral zone
Cates 51.6%
Result
Quinton Byfield favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Cates
Byfield
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Cates
Byfield
Last 8: Cates 4-4 Byfield
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
1
2
Cates
Byfield
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Cates
Byfield
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cates
1
0
Cates
Byfield
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Byfield
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (2,786)
45.4% (2,149)
-1.3%
Power Play
42.9% (254)
47.8% (113)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
34.9% (373)
37.8% (230)
-2.9%
On power play, Byfield has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Byfield shoots left. Cates is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,307).
Cates shoots left. Byfield is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,656).
Home / Away
Cates
Byfield
Home
43.9% (1,708)
45.3% (1,183)
Away
42.2% (1,705)
44.4% (1,309)
By Period
Cates
Byfield
P1
44.5%
45.2%
P2
43.7%
43.7%
P3
41.2%
45.9%
OT
29.4%
40.5%
Final 5 min
41.4%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
50.0%▲
45.5%
43.0%
Byfield
54.0%▼
57.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 02:38 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 04:02 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 15:02 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 12:52 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 12:43 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 09:53 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 11:22 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 09:42 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |