Noah Cates vs Robert Thomas

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Robert Thomas holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Cates wins 45.4% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Cates 43.2% vs Thomas 51.6% (-8.6%)
H2H factor Thomas leads 11-8 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone Cates 60.1%
Defensive zone Cates 65.9%
Neutral zone Cates 61.2%
Result Noah Cates favored at 62.0%
62.0%
38.0%
Cates Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
8 - 11 (19 meetings)
8
11
Cates Thomas
Last 10: Cates 3-7 Thomas

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
3
6
Cates Thomas
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
3
Cates Thomas
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cates
3
2
Cates Thomas
5 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Cates
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (2,786)
51.1% (5,387)
-7.0%
Power Play
42.9% (254)
55.8% (927)
-12.9%
Penalty Kill
34.9% (373)
50.2% (697)
-15.3%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +15.3% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Cates is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,103).
Cates shoots left. Thomas is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,967).
Home / Away
Cates
Thomas
Home
43.9% (1,708)
50.9% (3,484)
Away
42.2% (1,705)
52.3% (3,527)
By Period
Cates
Thomas
P1
44.5%
50.7%
P2
43.7%
53.0%
P3
41.2%
50.8%
OT
29.4%
59.2%
Final 5 min
41.4%
53.3%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
50.0%
45.5%
43.0%
Thomas
56.0%
47.5%
51.6%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Nov 20, 2025 OT 00:00 Neutral Robert Thomas
Nov 20, 2025 3 17:28 Offensive Noah Cates
Nov 20, 2025 3 07:06 Offensive Noah Cates
Nov 20, 2025 3 05:55 Defensive Robert Thomas
Nov 20, 2025 2 10:47 Defensive Robert Thomas
Nov 20, 2025 1 17:10 Offensive Noah Cates
Nov 20, 2025 1 06:12 Offensive Robert Thomas
Nov 14, 2025 3 13:21 Offensive Robert Thomas
Nov 14, 2025 2 14:48 Defensive Robert Thomas
Nov 14, 2025 2 01:34 Offensive Robert Thomas
Nov 30, 2024 2 01:26 Defensive Noah Cates
Nov 30, 2024 1 19:48 Neutral Robert Thomas
Nov 30, 2024 1 12:04 Defensive Noah Cates
Nov 30, 2024 1 11:46 Offensive Robert Thomas
Nov 30, 2024 1 09:15 Neutral Noah Cates
Nov 30, 2024 1 06:59 Neutral Noah Cates
Mar 4, 2024 3 18:04 Neutral Noah Cates
Mar 4, 2024 2 07:47 Offensive Robert Thomas
Nov 8, 2022 1 15:36 Offensive Robert Thomas