Noah Cates vs Ryan Strome

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.0% vs 44.7%).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Cates 45.5% vs Strome 45.9% (+0.3%)
Offensive zone Strome 50.8%
Defensive zone Strome 52.4%
Neutral zone Cates 53.8%
Result Noah Cates favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Cates Strome
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Cates
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (756)
45.4% (315)
+0.1%
Power Play
42.1% (114)
35.7% (28)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (47)
50.0% (4)
-5.3%
On power play, Cates has a +6.4% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Strome shoots right. Cates is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (350).
Cates shoots left. Strome is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (250).
Home / Away
Cates
Strome
Home
46.2% (468)
42.6% (188)
Away
43.9% (449)
47.2% (159)
By Period
Cates
Strome
P1
46.0%
38.6%
P2
47.5%
48.4%
P3
42.1%
46.2%
OT
18.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
44.8%
45.5%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
50.0%
45.5%
45.0%
Strome
50.0%
45.0%
44.7%