Scouting Report
Ryan Strome holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Cates on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Cates wins 45.4% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 43.2% vs Strome 44.6% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Cates leads 12-9 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 71.3%
Defensive zone
Strome 50.5%
Neutral zone
Strome 51.4%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 62.5%
37.5%
62.5%
Cates
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
9
(21 meetings)
12
9
Cates
Strome
Last 10: Cates 5-5 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
4
8
Cates
Strome
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cates
7
0
Cates
Strome
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cates
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (2,786)
44.2% (6,887)
-0.1%
Power Play
42.9% (254)
49.2% (855)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
34.9% (373)
41.5% (410)
-6.6%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Cates is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,103).
Cates shoots left. Strome is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,773).
Home / Away
Cates
Strome
Home
43.9% (1,708)
44.4% (4,077)
Away
42.2% (1,705)
44.8% (4,075)
By Period
Cates
Strome
P1
44.5%
43.9%
P2
43.7%
45.4%
P3
41.2%
44.4%
OT
29.4%
46.3%
Final 5 min
41.4%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
50.0%▲
45.5%
43.0%
Strome
50.0%▲
45.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 16:19 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 16:12 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 12:39 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 12:36 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 08:33 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 08:29 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 06:59 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 08:23 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 05:46 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 05:28 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 01:32 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 01:21 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 18:14 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 18:07 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 15:30 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 07:55 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 06:25 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 01:45 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 16:56 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 11:34 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |