Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings). Cates wins 45.4% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 43.2% vs Trocheck 54.2% (-11.2%)
H2H factor
Trocheck leads 25-12 in 37 meetings
Offensive zone
Cates 96.6%
Defensive zone
Cates 92.0%
Neutral zone
Cates 91.9%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 93.2%
93.2%
6.8%
Cates
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
25
(37 meetings)
12
25
Cates
Trocheck
Last 10: Cates 6-4 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
3
7
Cates
Trocheck
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
3
8
Cates
Trocheck
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
6
10
Cates
Trocheck
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (2,786)
53.7% (10,944)
-9.6%
Power Play
42.9% (254)
60.9% (1,870)
-18.0%
Penalty Kill
34.9% (373)
49.5% (1,472)
-14.6%
On power play, Trocheck has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Cates is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,103).
Cates shoots left. Trocheck is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (9,918).
Home / Away
Cates
Trocheck
Home
43.9% (1,708)
56.3% (7,160)
Away
42.2% (1,705)
52.2% (7,126)
By Period
Cates
Trocheck
P1
44.5%
54.1%
P2
43.7%
54.7%
P3
41.2%
54.0%
OT
29.4%
52.1%
Final 5 min
41.4%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
50.0%▲
45.5%
43.0%
Trocheck
62.0%▲
55.5%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2026 | 1 | 07:32 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 1 | 07:29 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 07:48 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 00:39 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 03:50 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 19:53 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 06:59 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 08:25 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 12:49 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 18:55 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 16:08 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 10:15 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 05:17 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 15:27 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 03:22 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 17:54 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 06:43 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 17:53 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |