Scouting Report
Mathieu Joseph holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Joseph wins 38.6% vs left-shot opponents — Gregor shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Joseph 40.9% vs Gregor 40.4% (+2.5%)
Offensive zone
Joseph 53.7%
Defensive zone
Joseph 51.5%
Neutral zone
Joseph 50.5%
Result
Mathieu Joseph favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Joseph
Gregor
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Joseph
Gregor
Edge
Even Strength
37.4% (337)
36.6% (202)
+0.8%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
28.6% (14)
+28.5%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
0.0% (1)
+47.6%
On penalty kill, Joseph has a +47.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gregor shoots left. Joseph is 38.6% vs left-shot opponents (220).
Joseph shoots left. Gregor is 34.1% vs left-shot opponents (126).
Home / Away
Joseph
Gregor
Home
38.8% (183)
36.2% (116)
Away
37.9% (182)
35.6% (101)
By Period
Joseph
Gregor
P1
36.2%
36.8%
P2
29.4%
28.0%
P3
53.1%
45.5%
Final 5 min
43.0%
40.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Joseph
44.0%▲
41.5%
38.4%
Gregor
40.0%▲
36.0%
35.9%