Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +20.7% FO% edge overall. Ostlund wins 35.8% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ostlund 36.5% vs Thomas 51.9% (-20.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ostlund 72.6%
Defensive zone
Ostlund 56.9%
Neutral zone
Ostlund 76.8%
Result
Noah Ostlund favored at 68.0%
68.0%
32.0%
Ostlund
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Ostlund
Thomas
Last 5: Ostlund 1-4 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
Ostlund
Thomas
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
2
Ostlund
Thomas
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Ostlund
Thomas
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ostlund
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
32.2% (261)
50.3% (652)
-18.1%
Power Play
11.1% (9)
61.5% (104)
-50.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
54.2% (120)
-20.9%
On power play, Thomas has a +50.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Ostlund is 35.8% vs right-shot opponents (106).
Ostlund shoots left. Thomas is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Ostlund
Thomas
Home
37.3% (142)
52.0% (400)
Away
25.2% (131)
52.3% (476)
By Period
Ostlund
Thomas
P1
34.0%
49.6%
P2
32.6%
55.4%
P3
27.4%
51.0%
Final 5 min
23.4%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ostlund
46.0%▲
34.5%
31.5%
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 15:57 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 15:51 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 15:47 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 03:09 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:52 | Neutral | Noah Ostlund |