Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +19.7% FO% edge overall. Ostlund wins 34.8% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ostlund 36.5% vs Thomas 51.6% (-19.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ostlund 77.6%
Defensive zone
Ostlund 66.0%
Neutral zone
Ostlund 77.4%
Result
Noah Ostlund favored at 72.9%
72.9%
27.1%
Ostlund
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Ostlund
Thomas
Last 5: Ostlund 1-4 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
Ostlund
Thomas
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
2
Ostlund
Thomas
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Ostlund
Thomas
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ostlund
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
32.5% (283)
51.1% (5,387)
-18.6%
Power Play
11.1% (9)
55.8% (927)
-44.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
50.2% (697)
-16.9%
On power play, Thomas has a +44.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Ostlund is 34.8% vs right-shot opponents (112).
Ostlund shoots left. Thomas is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,967).
Home / Away
Ostlund
Thomas
Home
37.0% (154)
50.9% (3,484)
Away
26.2% (141)
52.3% (3,527)
By Period
Ostlund
Thomas
P1
34.6%
50.7%
P2
32.0%
53.0%
P3
28.6%
50.8%
Final 5 min
23.6%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ostlund
46.0%▲
34.5%
31.9%
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 15:57 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 15:51 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 15:47 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 03:09 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:52 | Neutral | Noah Ostlund |