Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 50.8% vs Zacha 51.8% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 82.6%
Defensive zone
Acciari 83.8%
Neutral zone
Acciari 58.6%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 61.3%
61.3%
38.7%
Acciari
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Acciari
Zacha
Last 10: Acciari 4-6 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
2
Acciari
Zacha
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Acciari
Zacha
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Acciari
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (313)
53.0% (700)
-0.3%
Power Play
33.3% (18)
54.1% (109)
-20.8%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (195)
39.2% (74)
+10.5%
On power play, Zacha has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Acciari is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Acciari shoots right. Zacha is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Home / Away
Acciari
Zacha
Home
52.6% (291)
51.6% (438)
Away
48.9% (235)
52.4% (445)
By Period
Acciari
Zacha
P1
53.7%
57.0%
P2
51.1%
48.9%
P3
48.5%
50.5%
OT
42.9%
42.1%
Final 5 min
52.2%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
44.0%▬
44.5%
51.0%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | 3 | 05:18 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 3 | 00:58 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 3 | 00:51 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 12:03 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 04:15 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 19:49 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 19:04 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 14:30 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 01:58 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 06:07 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |