Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 51.2% vs Zacha 49.2% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 20-9 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 95.0%
Defensive zone
Acciari 70.8%
Neutral zone
Zacha 60.9%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 65.2%
34.8%
65.2%
Acciari
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
20
(29 meetings)
9
20
Acciari
Zacha
Last 10: Acciari 4-6 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
11
Acciari
Zacha
13 total
Defensive Zone
Even
5
5
Acciari
Zacha
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
4
Acciari
Zacha
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (3,304)
48.9% (5,156)
+3.9%
Power Play
48.3% (87)
55.7% (813)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
47.0% (1,073)
42.2% (557)
+4.8%
On power play, Zacha has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Acciari is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,268).
Acciari shoots right. Zacha is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,560).
Home / Away
Acciari
Zacha
Home
51.9% (2,139)
49.7% (3,381)
Away
50.7% (2,325)
48.6% (3,145)
By Period
Acciari
Zacha
P1
52.3%
49.9%
P2
51.5%
49.2%
P3
50.2%
48.2%
OT
50.0%
53.5%
Final 5 min
51.6%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
44.0%▬
44.5%
51.3%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | 3 | 05:18 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 3 | 00:58 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 3 | 00:51 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 12:03 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 04:15 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 19:49 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 19:04 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 14:30 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 01:58 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 06:07 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 00:37 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 13:05 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 07:43 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 13:07 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 08:35 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 15:04 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 12:52 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 08:29 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 18:53 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 18:35 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |