Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 50.8% vs Poehling 48.0% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Poehling 72.9%
Defensive zone
Acciari 61.0%
Neutral zone
Poehling 56.0%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Acciari
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Acciari
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
1
0
Acciari
Poehling
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Acciari
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (313)
50.4% (680)
+2.3%
Power Play
33.3% (18)
58.3% (12)
-25.0%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (195)
38.8% (219)
+10.9%
On power play, Poehling has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Acciari is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Acciari shoots right. Poehling is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Home / Away
Acciari
Poehling
Home
52.6% (291)
47.4% (422)
Away
48.9% (235)
48.1% (489)
By Period
Acciari
Poehling
P1
53.7%
53.3%
P2
51.1%
40.3%
P3
48.5%
50.0%
OT
42.9%
40.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
44.0%▬
44.5%
51.0%
Poehling
60.0%▲
53.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 19:41 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 12:42 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |