Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 51.2% vs Poehling 48.3% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Acciari leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Poehling 76.2%
Defensive zone
Acciari 72.5%
Neutral zone
Poehling 53.6%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Acciari
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Acciari
Poehling
Last 10: Acciari 7-3 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
4
0
Acciari
Poehling
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Acciari
Poehling
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Acciari
Poehling
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (3,304)
49.6% (2,780)
+3.2%
Power Play
48.3% (87)
51.6% (93)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
47.0% (1,073)
41.7% (635)
+5.3%
On penalty kill, Acciari has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Acciari is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,268).
Acciari shoots right. Poehling is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,151).
Home / Away
Acciari
Poehling
Home
51.9% (2,139)
49.3% (1,706)
Away
50.7% (2,325)
47.2% (1,802)
By Period
Acciari
Poehling
P1
52.3%
50.8%
P2
51.5%
47.1%
P3
50.2%
47.2%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
44.0%▬
44.5%
51.3%
Poehling
60.0%▲
53.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 19:41 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 12:42 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 06:13 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 19:42 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 1 | 19:44 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 1 | 15:38 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 16:56 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 16:42 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 14:36 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 19:56 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 15:58 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 13:21 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 06:08 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 03:34 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |