Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 50.8% vs Monahan 52.5% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 94.5%
Defensive zone
Acciari 76.0%
Neutral zone
Monahan 65.8%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 63.5%
63.5%
36.5%
Acciari
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
Acciari
Monahan
Last 9: Acciari 8-1 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Acciari
Monahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
7
0
Acciari
Monahan
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
1
0
Acciari
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (313)
53.0% (874)
-0.3%
Power Play
33.3% (18)
54.7% (161)
-21.4%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (195)
47.5% (101)
+2.2%
On power play, Monahan has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Acciari is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Acciari shoots right. Monahan is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (426).
Home / Away
Acciari
Monahan
Home
52.6% (291)
53.8% (558)
Away
48.9% (235)
51.7% (578)
By Period
Acciari
Monahan
P1
53.7%
49.5%
P2
51.1%
54.8%
P3
48.5%
52.8%
OT
42.9%
61.9%
Final 5 min
52.2%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
44.0%▬
44.5%
51.0%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 16:00 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 13:42 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 10:42 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 17:55 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 17:39 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 19:39 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 19:13 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 19:01 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 11:05 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |