Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.3% vs 51.2%). Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 51.2% vs Monahan 51.2% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Acciari leads 16-9 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 94.6%
Defensive zone
Acciari 80.6%
Neutral zone
Monahan 57.0%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Acciari
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
9
(25 meetings)
16
9
Acciari
Monahan
Last 10: Acciari 9-1 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
6
Acciari
Monahan
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
14
0
Acciari
Monahan
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
3
Acciari
Monahan
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (3,304)
51.1% (11,407)
+1.7%
Power Play
48.3% (87)
53.6% (2,582)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
47.0% (1,073)
45.9% (772)
+1.1%
On power play, Monahan has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Acciari is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,268).
Acciari shoots right. Monahan is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (5,426).
Home / Away
Acciari
Monahan
Home
51.9% (2,139)
52.3% (7,387)
Away
50.7% (2,325)
50.2% (7,374)
By Period
Acciari
Monahan
P1
52.3%
51.0%
P2
51.5%
51.7%
P3
50.2%
51.0%
OT
50.0%
53.5%
Final 5 min
51.6%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
44.0%▬
44.5%
51.3%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 16:00 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 13:42 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 10:42 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 17:55 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 17:39 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 19:39 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 19:13 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 19:01 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 11:05 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 1 | 02:53 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 3 | 10:28 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 1 | 19:33 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 12:29 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 08:50 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 11:23 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 19:34 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 04:56 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 19:27 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 1, 2020 | 1 | 04:53 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |