Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Acciari wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 53.9% vs Lorentz 49.4% (+5.6%)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 90.6%
Defensive zone
Acciari 77.7%
Neutral zone
Lorentz 53.2%
Result
Steven Lorentz favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Acciari
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (426)
48.9% (135)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (146)
50.0% (4)
+2.1%
On even strength, Acciari has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Acciari is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (444).
Acciari shoots right. Lorentz is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (42).
Home / Away
Acciari
Lorentz
Home
55.2% (306)
50.7% (75)
Away
53.7% (268)
46.9% (64)
By Period
Acciari
Lorentz
P1
55.5%
60.0%
P2
54.3%
46.3%
P3
54.1%
44.0%
Final 5 min
47.7%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
44.0%▬
44.5%
54.5%
Lorentz
48.0%▬
48.0%
48.9%