Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 51.2% vs Lorentz 48.5% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Acciari leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Lorentz 85.7%
Defensive zone
Acciari 86.3%
Neutral zone
Acciari 62.9%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Acciari
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Acciari
Lorentz
Last 10: Acciari 7-3 Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Acciari
Lorentz
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
4
1
Acciari
Lorentz
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
2
1
Acciari
Lorentz
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (3,304)
48.9% (1,125)
+3.9%
Power Play
48.3% (87)
50.0% (26)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
47.0% (1,073)
41.8% (91)
+5.2%
On penalty kill, Acciari has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Acciari is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,268).
Acciari shoots right. Lorentz is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (458).
Home / Away
Acciari
Lorentz
Home
51.9% (2,139)
50.6% (609)
Away
50.7% (2,325)
46.3% (633)
By Period
Acciari
Lorentz
P1
52.3%
53.0%
P2
51.5%
46.7%
P3
50.2%
46.2%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
44.0%▬
44.5%
51.3%
Lorentz
48.0%▬
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2021 | 3 | 07:11 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 2 | 11:22 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 3 | 14:03 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 1 | 09:38 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 1 | 06:10 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 3 | 07:33 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 3 | 01:54 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 2 | 17:41 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 2 | 10:39 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 2 | 04:52 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 3 | 08:54 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 3 | 08:49 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |