Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 53.2% vs Stamkos 49.9% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 89.9%
Defensive zone
Acciari 87.5%
Neutral zone
Acciari 68.2%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 68.1%
68.1%
31.9%
Acciari
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Acciari
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Acciari
Stamkos
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
3
0
Acciari
Stamkos
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
56.7% (393)
49.3% (670)
+7.4%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
53.7% (121)
-20.4%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (202)
33.3% (3)
+14.7%
On power play, Stamkos has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Acciari is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Acciari shoots right. Stamkos is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (184).
Home / Away
Acciari
Stamkos
Home
54.5% (279)
54.0% (400)
Away
53.0% (319)
45.7% (394)
By Period
Acciari
Stamkos
P1
56.9%
48.6%
P2
51.4%
54.5%
P3
53.2%
45.4%
OT
60.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
60.9%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
54.0%▲
51.5%
53.7%
Stamkos
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 00:38 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 16:28 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 14:45 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 11:25 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |