Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.3% vs 51.1%). Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 51.2% vs Stamkos 51.1% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 16-16 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 93.5%
Defensive zone
Acciari 83.1%
Neutral zone
Acciari 50.6%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Acciari
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
16
(32 meetings)
16
16
Acciari
Stamkos
Last 10: Acciari 6-4 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
9
Acciari
Stamkos
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
12
2
Acciari
Stamkos
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
3
5
Acciari
Stamkos
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (3,304)
50.5% (9,825)
+2.3%
Power Play
48.3% (87)
55.2% (1,729)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
47.0% (1,073)
49.6% (827)
-2.6%
On power play, Stamkos has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Acciari is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,196).
Acciari shoots right. Stamkos is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (3,601).
Home / Away
Acciari
Stamkos
Home
51.9% (2,139)
52.8% (6,270)
Away
50.7% (2,325)
49.3% (6,137)
By Period
Acciari
Stamkos
P1
52.3%
49.2%
P2
51.5%
52.7%
P3
50.2%
50.9%
OT
50.0%
54.3%
Final 5 min
51.6%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
44.0%▬
44.5%
51.3%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 00:38 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 16:28 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 14:45 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 11:25 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 06:22 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 2 | 08:58 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 2 | 08:51 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 12:49 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 16:15 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 15:58 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 15:45 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 21, 2021 | 3 | 08:10 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 21, 2021 | 1 | 19:55 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 2 | 05:43 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 1 | 16:32 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 1 | 08:46 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 3 | 06:31 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 2 | 04:20 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 1 | 19:46 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 3 | 15:41 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |