Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.0% vs 46.3%). Sundqvist wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sundqvist 47.6% vs Donato 47.1% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 74.4%
Defensive zone
Sundqvist 72.3%
Neutral zone
Sundqvist 55.7%
Result
Oskar Sundqvist favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Sundqvist
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Sundqvist
Donato
Last 5: Sundqvist 3-2 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
0
2
Sundqvist
Donato
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
2
0
Sundqvist
Donato
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
1
0
Sundqvist
Donato
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sundqvist
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (301)
46.8% (297)
+0.0%
Power Play
80.0% (10)
41.0% (39)
+39.0%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (85)
100.0% (1)
-56.5%
On penalty kill, Donato has a +56.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Sundqvist is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Sundqvist shoots right. Donato is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Sundqvist
Donato
Home
46.0% (189)
45.8% (142)
Away
47.8% (207)
46.7% (195)
By Period
Sundqvist
Donato
P1
44.7%
49.5%
P2
47.6%
45.7%
P3
48.6%
43.4%
OT
100.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
47.0%
Donato
40.0%▼
46.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | 1 | 08:01 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 2 | 16:07 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 2 | 16:04 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 1 | 15:50 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 1 | 13:01 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |