Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.1% vs 44.3%). Look for Sundqvist on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Sundqvist wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sundqvist 44.3% vs Donato 44.7% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Sundqvist leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Donato 80.0%
Defensive zone
Sundqvist 74.8%
Neutral zone
Sundqvist 51.3%
Result
Oskar Sundqvist favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Sundqvist
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Sundqvist
Donato
Last 10: Sundqvist 7-3 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
0
3
Sundqvist
Donato
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
4
0
Sundqvist
Donato
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
4
0
Sundqvist
Donato
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sundqvist
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (2,842)
44.0% (1,218)
+0.2%
Power Play
51.0% (98)
46.0% (248)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (385)
41.7% (12)
-0.1%
On power play, Sundqvist has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Sundqvist is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,379).
Sundqvist shoots right. Donato is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (569).
Home / Away
Sundqvist
Donato
Home
44.2% (1,584)
47.2% (743)
Away
44.0% (1,741)
41.4% (735)
By Period
Sundqvist
Donato
P1
42.8%
43.8%
P2
45.6%
44.9%
P3
43.7%
43.7%
OT
60.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
45.2%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.1%
Donato
40.0%▼
46.0%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | 1 | 08:01 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 2 | 16:07 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 2 | 16:04 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 1 | 15:50 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 1 | 13:01 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 18:40 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 07:50 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 2 | 13:08 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 1 | 09:08 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 1 | 05:32 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 1 | 05:27 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |