Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Sundqvist wins 43.2% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sundqvist 44.3% vs Gagner 47.5% (-5.5%)
Offensive zone
Sundqvist 62.7%
Defensive zone
Gagner 64.4%
Neutral zone
Gagner 53.1%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Sundqvist
Gagner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sundqvist
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (154)
51.3% (158)
-4.5%
Power Play
0.0% (7)
66.7% (36)
-66.7%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (21)
33.6% (110)
-19.3%
On power play, Gagner has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Sundqvist is 43.2% vs right-shot opponents (37).
Sundqvist shoots right. Gagner is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (64).
Home / Away
Sundqvist
Gagner
Home
42.3% (97)
53.2% (154)
Away
40.0% (85)
40.0% (150)
By Period
Sundqvist
Gagner
P1
46.0%
35.6%
P2
45.9%
52.7%
P3
32.1%
51.9%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
36.0%
34.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
41.2%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.7%