Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Sundqvist on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Sundqvist wins 44.2% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sundqvist 44.3% vs Gagner 46.0% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 82.8%
Defensive zone
Sundqvist 63.7%
Neutral zone
Gagner 55.0%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 64.3%
35.7%
64.3%
Sundqvist
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Sundqvist
Gagner
Last 6: Sundqvist 4-2 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sundqvist
Gagner
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
3
1
Sundqvist
Gagner
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sundqvist
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (2,825)
45.4% (4,699)
-1.2%
Power Play
51.0% (98)
51.5% (928)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (371)
35.0% (226)
+6.5%
On penalty kill, Sundqvist has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Sundqvist is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (944).
Sundqvist shoots right. Gagner is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,684).
Home / Away
Sundqvist
Gagner
Home
44.1% (1,580)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
44.1% (1,714)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Sundqvist
Gagner
P1
42.7%
44.6%
P2
45.6%
46.1%
P3
43.8%
47.3%
OT
55.6%
42.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.1%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2019 | 2 | 14:47 | Offensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 01:20 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 07:33 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 01:46 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 17:30 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 09:42 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |